By Patricia H. Kushlis
There’s long been an attention deficit problem in Washington, D.C. Multitasking is not that city’s strength. Two weeks ago it was the bombing of Libya followed by a near-US government shut-down. Earlier in the year it was the popular revolts in Tunisia, then the one in Egypt.
Last week it was the ongoing budget deficit battle. It’s not that the town on the Potomac or its power players can necessarily choose the issue of the moment – it’s just that the people who run it cannot see beyond the crisis of the day. Moreover, they also have trouble coping with some of the more subtle inter-relationships between the issues - and their solutions. This extends from the White House to Capitol Hill, engulfs the Pentagon and the State Department. The media is swept in along the way. Or maybe the media does some of the sweeping.
One of the most intriguing stories along these lines was a report by Ron Nixon that appeared on the Friday April 14 front page of The New York Times. This article entitled “US Groups Helped Nurture Arab Uprisings” has not been mentioned elsewhere – at least as far as I've seen. Maybe because it is reasonably complex, maybe because reporters would need to understand the foreign affairs budgetary process and be able to explain them or maybe because complexity just doesn’t make for easy, sexy, reader-attractive headlines – like man bites dog – or tornado traps North Carolinian in her or his basement overnight with, oh, my gosh, her or his two well cared-for cats. Or whatever.
Changing the face of the Middle East
Anyway, Ron Nixon tells us that $100 million of US government soft power funds administered through the National Endowment of Democracy and parceled out to the international democracy-building wings of the Democratic and Republican Parties and Freedom House have done more to change the face of the Middle East since December 2010 than the invasion of Iraq or half a trillion dollars spent each year on US military activities at home and abroad.
In comparison, this reporter tells us that $1.3 billion of mostly military aid went to Egypt in the past year alone. Following right along, Harvard Professor Joseph Nye writes in a recent FP article that the annual budget for the State Department is only $36 billion. I think this $36 billion also includes the $100 million annually for the National Endowment for Democracy – if, that is, I remember correctly.
What IRI, NDI and Freedom House have done since US government funds were awarded directly to pro-democracy groups in Egypt and elsewhere throughout the Middle East beginning in 2005 under the Bush administration have been to train people in peaceful means of protest against authoritarian regimes. If democracy promotion is a goal – which it has long been for both US political parties – then a tiny amount of money went an exceedingly long way. Although, of course, it has taken more time to demonstrate effectiveness that the single year Congressionally mandated GPRA Act reporting cycle permits.
Democracy-building funds began under Reagan
This soft-power funding began in 1983 under the Reagan administration. Then it was aimed at promoting change throughout the Communist regimes of Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union. Five years later Eastern Europe began to unravel. It took six years in the case of Egypt.
When Mubarak, for instance, complained that the US government’s left and right hands were working at cross-purposes and the funding for Egyptian pro-democracy groups was under-mining his regime which the US also supported, the US response was that the goal was reform, not revolution.
The amount of money spent this way, of course, was a pittance compared with the enormous US government mostly defense-related pay-offs Mubarak used to keep himself in power – and living the life of Reilly for not attacking Israel.
Yet in the end, both sides – the Egyptian military and Egyptian protestors - converged on a single goal this past winter: Mubarak’s immediate departure as well as that of his heir-apparent son – who is now where?
Ready to roll - and not the Tanks
The pro-democracy folk in the streets and in Tahrir Square used the strategy and tactics they had learned through pro-democracy training from and in the West. This set off the chain reaction we witnessed in earlier this year. The Egyptian military’s decision to refrain from using violence against them was clearly encouraged by their American military counterparts whom they had known throughout the years of training and other contacts as a result of the close defense relationship between our two countries. If this is what it cost, then money well spent.
This was an excellent – and perhaps unique - convergence between US soft and hard power interests. But it may be sui genus since each country in the Middle East is so different – and the US relationships with them likewise differ substantially.
In fact, Egypt may be an isolated case of America’s left and right hands working together. Meanwhile, the US simply does not have the same types of relationships with many of the other countries where Arab popular revolts are occurring or alternatively, the conditions on the ground and options available are very different.
An unfortunate worsening imbalance
In a recent article in FP, Harvard professor and “smart power” inventor Joseph Nye bemoans the decline of US government funds for soft power as a part of the latest budget cutting deal. As Nye points out, even Secretary of Defense Bob Gates told the 2007 Smart Power Commission that more money needed to be devoted to soft power – that the Defense Department could not protect American interests abroad alone and a country that led with the military fist– even a military engaged in soft power activities like humanitarian assistance and keeping other militaries from attacking its own citizens.
Since 2007, according to Nye, the ratio between non-military foreign affairs spending and for the military has become even more unbalanced.
What Nye doesn’t tell us, however, is that although Gates was quite willing to support new funds for the State Department, I don’t recall that he was also willing to transfer to State one penny of the Pentagon’s nearly 20% share of the US budget. A small amount, it seems to me, would not have been missed – and just think what a difference it might have made.
It still could – but only if the budget cutters rethink what works best (and by far the most cheaply) in the promulgation of US foreign policy.
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